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Expected goals

Beating the xG

Expected goals (xG) measures the quality of the chances a player gets. Score more than your xG and you are finishing better than the chances deserve. Score fewer and the goals should be coming. Premier League and EFL, from real match data, minimum 450 minutes.

Outscoring their chances

The clinical finishers: most goals above their expected total.

No qualifying players yet this season. The board fills out as players pass 450 minutes.

Leaving goals out there

Getting into the positions, not yet taking them: most goals below their expected total. Often the players about to go on a run.

No qualifying players yet this season. The board fills out as players pass 450 minutes.

Source: Sportmonks season statistics (xG detail), refreshed nightly. Seasons where xG coverage looks incomplete are excluded. xG is one lens on finishing, not the whole story.

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